Social Security recipients are due to receive the largest increase in benefits in seven years. But for many recipients, the increase in payments will go towards higher Medicare costs. As of September 2018, over 67.6 million Americans currently receive Social …
Mortgage Rates Rise To Seven Year High – Housing Market Review
Thirty-year mortgage rates have surged to the highest levels in seven years, increasing borrowing costs at a time when the housing market is slowing and prices have been falling. The 4.86% conforming rate at the end of October was the …
Macro Overview / November 2018
Historically volatile October was validated once again by dramatic price swings for both stocks and bonds. Among the catalysts behind the volatility were rising rates, a strong dollar, tariffs, and waning benefits stemming from the tax cuts. Markets are transitioning …
Products Exempted From New Tariffs ..For Now – Trade Policy
Of the 5,745 products that have been tagged with tariffs as they arrive in the U.S. from China, a handful have been omitted from tariffs. Among the exempted products are ibuprofen, barite, fluorine salts, and smartwatches. As newly imposed tariffs …
Household Equity Rising as Mortgage Debt Falling – Housing Market Overview
Following the debacle of the housing crisis from ten years ago, homeowners have become less ambitious and more conservative. Equity levels in homes across the country have respectfully increased past mortgage debt levels over the past few months. The latest …
Larger Increase in Benefits Than Income – Labor Market Review
As companies struggle to keep existing qualified workers as well as attract and hire new workers, the task of keeping labor costs minimized becomes an increasing challenge. Rather than paying higher wages, some employers are compensating their employees with enriched …
Senior Bankruptcy – Retirement Planning
The rate at which seniors file for bankruptcy has more than tripled since 1991 amid reductions in retirement and benefit payments. Of the people that are filing for bankruptcy each year, 12.2% are aged 65-74 versus 2.1% for the same …
When Taxes Replaced Tariffs – Historical Note
As a young country, the first of tariffs enacted to protect American business interests was the Tariff Act of 1789. The act was written to raise funds for the newly established government, reduce debt from the Revolutionary War, and protect …
International Markets Struggle – International Equities
European markets reacted to a possible impasse regarding negotiations surrounding the exit of Britain from the EU, also known as Brexit. Six months remain before the formal separation between the two occurs. Developed and emerging market equity indices are having …
Rates On The Rise – Fixed Income Update
The Fed announced its third rate hike for the year, indicating another rate increase anticipated in December and three more to follow in 2019. The Fed’s key policy rate, the Federal Funds Rate, now stands at a range of 2% …
Economic Data Influences Stocks – U.S. Equity Update
Major equity indices all posted gains for the third quarter, with the S&P 500 advancing 7.2%, the Dow Jones Index gaining 9%, and the Nasdaq rising 7.1%. It was the single best quarter for stocks since 2013, buoyed by recent …
Macro Overview / October 2018
The Fed raised rates for the third time this year, signaling it was on track for further hikes over the next few months. Rates moved higher across the fixed income spectrum, with the 10-year Treasury bond piercing the 3% mark, …
Yields Continue To Flatten – Fixed Income Update
– September 2018 A flattening Treasury yield curve remained a focal topic among fixed income analysts in August. The shrinking spread, or difference, between the yield on the 2-year Treasury note and the 10-year Treasury bond reached levels not seen …
Leading Scams Targeting Seniors – Retirement Planning
– September 2018 The National Council on Aging estimates that nearly 1 in 10 Americans over the age of 60 experiences some form of financial elder abuse. IRS Scams Callers claiming to be IRS agents often call unsuspecting seniors at …
Trade & Currency Concerns – International Update
– September 2018 Currency and debt concerns among emerging markets drove global volatility upward. Fiscal turmoil with Turkey and Argentina spread to other emerging economies as the fear of contagion rose. A stronger U.S. dollar in addition to tariff tensions …
Federal Government Revenue Heading Higher – Fiscal Policy Overview
– September 2018 The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released its summary of the most recent federal budget as of July. The deficit of the first 10 months of the fiscal year 2018 reached 682 billion dollars, up $116 billion from …
Households Holding Less Debt – Consumer Behavior
– September 2018 The New York Federal Reserve Bank compiles data on how much debt and what type of debt households have. The most recent release of debt data shows that household debt as a percentage of disposable income fell …
Equities Maintain Their Resilience – U.S. Equity Markets
– September 2018 A persistent trade dispute between the United States and China has been lingering over the financial markets for some time now. Helping to buoy domestic markets are strong corporate earnings and improving economic data. Earnings from U.S. …
Emerging Market Currencies Experience Volatility
– September 2018 Currency valuations across the emerging markets are being affected by recent financial turmoil in Turkey and Argentina. The Turkish currency, the lira, has fallen over 40% year to date versus the U.S. dollar. The Turkish lira has …
Wireless Rates Are Due To Climb – Consumer Expenditures
– September 2018 Cell phone bills are rising across the country as providers eliminate promotions and consolidate operations. The announcement of recent mega mergers in the industry has reduced the number of providers and lessened competition, leading to increased rates …